The Daily Telegraph - National Voter Sentiment Survey

The Daily Telegraph has today published more from our poll earlier this week, this time focusing on the rise and rise of One Nation.

At 21 per cent, One Nation is no longer a fringe party. In dozens of seats it could now replace either Labor or the Coalition as the main challenger.

A combined major party vote of just 54 per cent puts the traditional two-party model under real strain. That’s why, in an Australian first, we’ve gone beyond 2PP and built a detailed “3PP” framework, and modelled how each of the three largest parties performs in two-way contests with the others.

We’re excited to share this, because when the political system changes, the way we measure it has to change too. Better information leads to better understanding.

The poll was conducted 5-6 January 2026, with a sample of 1,608 voters and a margin of error of 3.0%.

Link to The Daily Telegraph story: https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/one-nation-triples-support-as-voters-abandon-major-parties-in-wake-of-bondi-attack/news-story/c37062f5d16737e2371c32829471503d

Link to the full report and methodology statement: https://tinyurl.com/NationalVoterSurveyJan26-FH