As counting for the 2026 South Australian election draws to its conclusion, we have taken the opportunity to review our final polling result, what it got right, and where there is scope for improvement.

Our latest poll, published exclusively for the Sunday Telegraph, finds Labor holding a narrow lead over the Coalition on TPP terms (51-49), while One Nation has fallen to trail Labor 56-44).

On primary votes, the Coalition and One Nation have drawn level, each on 23%, behind Labor who leads on 30%.

As published yesterday in the Saturday Telegraph, this month’s survey also captured Australians’ views on the fuel crisis.

Fox & Hedgehog conducted research for the Institute of Public Affairs, covering public attitudes to Australia’s current migration intake.

This research, published on 19 March 2026 across multiple media outlets, including The Daily Telegraph, News.com.au, The Nightly, The Daily Mail, and Sky News found that the majority of Australians support reductions to Australia’s current migration intake.

Fox & Hedgehog has published its final pre-election poll ahead of the South Australian state election, to be held this Saturday, 21 March 2026.

Despite a two-point drop in Labor’s primary vote since our February survey, the Malinauskas Government retains a strong election-winning lead as voters head to the polls. Our survey finds Labor leading the Liberals 60–40 on a two-party preferred basis, and leading One Nation 59–41. Compared to the 2022 election result, this represents a 5.4% swing to Labor.

Our latest poll, published exclusively for the Daily Telegraph, finds the two-party preferred narrowing between Labor and the Coalition following the election of Angus Taylor to the Liberal Leadership.