For the first time in Australia’s federal political history, a minor party has attracted more than 20% support in national opinion polling.

In this explainer, we delve into what effect this has on the traditional TPP, and how to interpret the impact of a rising third party on Australian federal elections.

The Daily Telegraph has today published more from our poll earlier this week, this time focusing on the rise and rise of One Nation.

At 21 per cent, One Nation is no longer a fringe party. In dozens of seats it could now replace either Labor or the Coalition as the main challenger.

A combined major party vote of just 54 per cent puts the traditional two-party model under real strain. That’s why, in an Australian first, we’ve gone beyond 2PP and built a detailed “3PP” framework, and modelled how each of the three largest parties performs in two-way contests with the others.

Our latest national poll, published today on the front page of The Daily Telegraph, measures public attitudes towards holding a Royal Commission following last month’s terror attack in Bondi.

Our latest poll published exclusively in The Advertiser shows the dominance of Peter Malinauskas and South Australian Labor leading into March’s state election.

The poll of 1,000 South Australian voters, conducted from 24 November - 5 December finds Labor ahead 61-39, with the Liberals recording a record low primary vote of 21%.

New research from Fox & Hedgehog, commissioned by the Institute of Public Affairs, has been published in the Herald Sun.

The polling, conducted among 1,810 Victorians, found the state is divided over the Victorian Labor Government’s proposed treaty legislation, which is currently before the Legislative Council. More Victorians oppose a treaty between the state government and Victorian Aboriginal groups than support it.