Our post-budget poll, published exclusively for the Daily Telegraph, finds the Coalition overtaking Labor on the two-party preferred, 51% (+2%) to 49% (-2%). This is the first time since the 2025 federal election that Labor has trailed the Coalition on the traditional two-party preferred metric.

This is despite the Coalition remaining in third place on primary votes, securing 25% (+2%) in this month’s survey, behind Labor on 29% (-1%), and One Nation on 27% (+4%). The Greens, trailing on 10% (-3%) and Independent/Other on 9% (-2%) experienced falls since our March survey.

On a three-party preferred (3PP) basis, Labor leads on 43% (-3), followed by One Nation on 30% (+3), and the Coalition on 27% (0).

As counting for the 2026 South Australian election draws to its conclusion, we have taken the opportunity to review our final polling result, what it got right, and where there is scope for improvement.

Our latest poll, published exclusively for the Sunday Telegraph, finds Labor holding a narrow lead over the Coalition on TPP terms (51-49), while One Nation has fallen to trail Labor 56-44).

On primary votes, the Coalition and One Nation have drawn level, each on 23%, behind Labor who leads on 30%.

As published yesterday in the Saturday Telegraph, this month’s survey also captured Australians’ views on the fuel crisis.

Fox & Hedgehog conducted research for the Institute of Public Affairs, covering public attitudes to Australia’s current migration intake.

This research, published on 19 March 2026 across multiple media outlets, including The Daily Telegraph, News.com.au, The Nightly, The Daily Mail, and Sky News found that the majority of Australians support reductions to Australia’s current migration intake.

Fox & Hedgehog has published its final pre-election poll ahead of the South Australian state election, to be held this Saturday, 21 March 2026.

Despite a two-point drop in Labor’s primary vote since our February survey, the Malinauskas Government retains a strong election-winning lead as voters head to the polls. Our survey finds Labor leading the Liberals 60–40 on a two-party preferred basis, and leading One Nation 59–41. Compared to the 2022 election result, this represents a 5.4% swing to Labor.